Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.068895 0.076272 0.084360 0.093930 0.105001 0.117476 0.132694
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.057877 0.067891 0.079770 0.095083 0.114573 0.138932 0.172305
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.050452 0.061861 0.076252 0.096138 0.123571 0.161147 0.218517
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.044605 0.056606 0.072494 0.095725 0.130019 0.180915 0.266767
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.040665 0.053137 0.070351 0.096808 0.138348 0.204838 0.328600
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.037565 0.050326 0.068587 0.097916 0.146614 0.230292 0.401862
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.034960 0.047860 0.066907 0.098722 0.154317 0.256439 0.486741
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.032564 0.045407 0.064892 0.098573 0.160174 0.280507 0.577872
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.030278 0.042878 0.062436 0.097258 0.163548 0.300405 0.668910
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.028939 0.041671 0.061934 0.099201 0.173409 0.336714 0.824330
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.027120 0.039538 0.059671 0.097623 0.175854 0.356919 0.945699
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.025939 0.038332 0.058839 0.098568 0.183737 0.392737 1.146299
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.024566 0.036727 0.057207 0.097845 0.188046 0.421501 1.350287
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.023626 0.035776 0.056641 0.099168 0.197378 0.467895 1.682525
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022744 0.034855 0.056038 0.100329 0.206618 0.518123 2.106958
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021731 0.033632 0.054767 0.099910 0.211844 0.558143 2.544901
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021001 0.032854 0.054255 0.101065 0.221474 0.618031 3.245656
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020330 0.032132 0.053784 0.102242 0.231486 0.684974 4.197517
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019673 0.031389 0.053207 0.103098 0.240842 0.755138 5.451073
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018957 0.030493 0.052250 0.102940 0.247203 0.816903 6.918413
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018169 0.029416 0.050849 0.101548 0.249496 0.862054 8.438410
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017771 0.029045 0.050854 0.103606 0.263395 0.974607 12.149452
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017052 0.028025 0.049441 0.101934 0.264550 1.021471 14.999415